據6月13日The Nation報道，隨著歐佩克及其盟友削減了石油生產配額，尼日利亞聯邦政府的收入即將下降。據估計，5月和6月尼日利亞聯邦政府可從原油銷售中獲得的收入累計減少了約1400億尼日利亞奈拉。

歐佩克+在四月份決定每天減少970萬桶的石油產量來支撐油價。根據歐佩克+的合作協議聲明，尼日利亞不得不在整個5月份將原油日產量減少21.6萬桶。該國將繼續遵守歐佩克+的協議。

在上周末舉行的第179次歐佩克會議上，歐佩克秘書長穆罕默德·巴金多通過視頻會議解釋道，自愿調整產量——970萬桶/天將在2020年5月和6月實施。這意味著到6月，尼日利亞將進一步減產21.6萬桶/天，也就是說，在5月和6月的60天內，該國將減產1296萬桶。

因此，以每桶30美元的保守均價計算，該國在這兩個月內的收入將減少3.888億美元，即1399.7億尼日利亞奈拉(官方匯率：360尼日利亞奈拉兌1美元)。

基于上述情況，尼日利亞在5月和6月將損失不少于1400億奈拉，因為它加入了歐佩克+的原油減產合作協議。

鄒勤 摘譯自 The Nation

原文如下：

Oil revenue to drop by N140bn due to OPEC+ cut

A dip in the Federal Government’s revenue is in the offing. This is because following the cut in oil production quota by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies.

The revenue accruable to the Federal Government from the sale of crude oil is estimated to drop by a cumulative sum of about N140billion in May and June.

OPEC and its allies, a group called OPEC+, decided in April to cut oil output by 9.7 million barrels per day to shore up oil prices after they crashed massively, following the widespread lockdown measures targeted at halting COVID-19 spread.

Based on the Declaration of Cooperation agreement by OPEC+, the country had to reduce her daily crude oil production by 216,000 barrels all through the month of May. The country has continued to comply with the agreement of OPEC+.

At the 179th Meeting of the OPEC Conference at the weekend via a videoconference, OPEC Secretary-General, Mohammad Barkindo, explained that the voluntary production adjustments of 9.7 million bpd would be in May and June 2020.

This implies that Nigeria will further cut its production by about 216,000 bpd through June, translating that for the 60-day period (May and June), the country would have reduced production by 12.96 million barrels.

Therefore, using a conservative average price of $30/barrel, the country’s earnings during the two-month period would reduce by $388.80million or N139.97 billion (at the official exchange rate of N360 to one dollar).

Based on the above, Nigeria will be losing nothing less than N140 billion in May and June as it joins OPEC+ in the Declaration of Cooperation agreement on crude oil production cut.