據(jù)土耳其新聞社6月22日消息稱(chēng)，根據(jù)牛津能源研究所(OIES)的最新報(bào)告，由于溫和氣溫的連續(xù)影響、發(fā)電領(lǐng)域的高可再生能源以及COVID-19的后果的相繼影響，2020年前5個(gè)月，歐洲的天然氣需求同比下降了約8%，即190億立方米。

報(bào)告稱(chēng)：“2020年前5個(gè)月，發(fā)電量同比下降6.6%，但與此同時(shí)，可再生能源占比從2019年同期的37%上升到43，其中水電和風(fēng)能是主要的貢獻(xiàn)者，分別為18%和17%。

該報(bào)告進(jìn)一步指出，在這些情況下，其他燃料幾乎沒(méi)有發(fā)展空間，核能發(fā)電量下降了11%，天然氣下降了13%，煤炭下降了28%。

需求降幅最大的是法國(guó)和意大利，分別下降13.2%和11.5%;波蘭的需求小幅增長(zhǎng)2%，主要是由于其電力部門(mén)改用煤制氣。

報(bào)告稱(chēng)，德國(guó)天然氣發(fā)電量增長(zhǎng)了3%，波蘭增長(zhǎng)了9%，荷蘭可能增長(zhǎng)了10%，而在兩種燃料完全不能轉(zhuǎn)換的國(guó)家，天然氣發(fā)電量下降了。

報(bào)告稱(chēng)：“英國(guó)下降了31%，法國(guó)下降了18%，意大利下降了13%，比利時(shí)下降了7%。”

它補(bǔ)充說(shuō)，在西班牙，今年前五個(gè)月的發(fā)電天然氣需求與去年同期相比下降了約11%，為58億立方米左右。

該機(jī)構(gòu)預(yù)測(cè)，英國(guó)的降幅最大，為34億立方米，意大利為13億立方米，西班牙為8億立方米。

曹海斌 摘譯自 土耳其新聞社

原文如下：

Europe gas demand down 8% in 1st 5 months of 2020

Natural gas demand in Europe has declined year-on-year by about 8% or 19 billion cubic meters (bcm) in the first five months of 2020 due to the successive impact of mild temperatures, high renewables in power generation and the consequences of COVID-19, according to Oxford Institute for Energy Studies’ (OIES) latest report.

“In the first five months of 2020, power generation was down by 6.6% year on year, while at the same time, the share of renewable generation increased to 43%, up from 37% over the same period in 2019, with hydro and wind as the main contributors, at 18% and 17% respectively,” the report said.

It further detailed that these circumstances have left little room for other fuels with nuclear generation down by 11%, gas by 13% and coal by 28%.

The sharpest decline in demand was seen in France with a 13.2% drop and in Italy with an 11.5% fall while Poland registered a small increase of 2% as a result of coal-to-gas switching in its power sector.

The report said gas generation was up by 3% in Germany, 9% in Poland and potentially by 10% in the Netherlands while in countries with limited to no possibility of switching between the two fuels, gas generation decreased.

“In the UK, it collapsed by 31%, in France, it was down by 18%, in Italy by 13% and in Belgium by 7%,” it said.

It added that in Spain, gas demand for electricity generation was down by about 11% to around 5.8 bcm in the first five months of the year compared to the same period last year.

The institute forecast that the largest decline in volume is expected in the UK with a 3.4 bcm fall, Italy with a 1.3 bcm slide and Spain with a 0.8 bcm drop.