據(jù)天然氣新聞2020年9月11日新加坡報(bào)道，新加坡Pavilion能源公司負(fù)責(zé)亞洲事務(wù)的總經(jīng)理艾倫·恒格9月10日表示，全球液化天然氣（LNG）加注需求預(yù)計(jì)到2025年前將增加900萬噸以及到2030年前預(yù)計(jì)將增加大約3000萬噸，而全球LNG加注船隊(duì)的數(shù)目到2030年前將從目前現(xiàn)有的556支增加到8000多支。

恒格是在天然氣技術(shù)（Gastech）虛擬峰會(huì)上發(fā)表上述講話的。他表示：“我們預(yù)計(jì)，到2030年前，新加坡將擁有全球20%的LNG市場份額，這與新加坡作為世界上最大的燃料加注港的地位相一致”

在談到疫情大流行對LNG加注市場的短期影響時(shí)，恒格說，新疫情導(dǎo)致航運(yùn)和船隊(duì)更換的增長放緩。

此外，油價(jià)下跌還導(dǎo)致符合國際海事組織2020年標(biāo)準(zhǔn)的傳統(tǒng)燃料與LNG之間的價(jià)差縮小，這使得從經(jīng)濟(jì)角度解釋加注船隊(duì)更換和新燃料的合理性變得更加困難。他表示：“但我們相信，LNG作為一種綠色燃料的基本面仍然強(qiáng)勁。”

然而，從中期到長期來看，在世界經(jīng)歷了疫情大流行之后，Pavilion能源公司預(yù)計(jì)，在未來10年里，LNG加注需求將增加30倍，新加坡屆時(shí)將成為全球LNG加注的主要樞紐。

此外，恒格在會(huì)上還強(qiáng)調(diào)了造船成本和LNG價(jià)格下降的機(jī)遇，LNG加注市場可以“為未來重新定位”。

李峻 編譯自 天然氣新聞

原文如下：

LNG bunkering forecast to grow thirtyfold to 30 mil mt by 2030

LNG bunkering demand is estimated to grow to 9 million mt by 2025 and just under 30 million mt by 2030, with LNG bunkering fleet growing to more than 8,000 by 2030 from an existing fleet of 556, Alan Heng, managing director for Asia at Pavilion Energy, said Sept. 10.

"We project that by 2030, Singapore will have a 20% global LNG share, consistent with its position as the largest bunkering port in the world," Heng said at the Gastech Virtual Summit.

Addressing the short-term impact from COVID-19 on the LNG bunker market, he said that it has resulted in slower growth in shipping and fleet replacement.

Furthermore, lower oil prices had also led to thinner spreads between conventional IMO 2020 compliant fuels and LNG, making economic justifications to fleet replacement and new fuels more difficult. "But we believe that the fundamentals for LNG as a greener fuel remains strong," Heng said.

However in the mid-to-long term, after the world tides over the pandemic, Pavilion expects the LNG bunkering demand outlook to trend along the original projections of achieving a 30-fold increase in demand in the next ten years and for Singapore to become the major hub for LNG bunkering.

Moreover, Heng highlighted the opportunity of lower shipbuilding costs and LNG prices that the LNG bunker market could take to "reposition for the future."