據(jù)今日石油2020年9月24日?qǐng)?bào)道，考慮到圭亞那在近海發(fā)現(xiàn)了大量的碳?xì)浠衔镔Y源，而且由于圭亞那經(jīng)濟(jì)逐漸擺脫對(duì)化石燃料的依賴以及對(duì)天然氣的需求日益增加，這個(gè)南美洲國(guó)家在未來幾年內(nèi)能夠成為世界液化天然氣（LNG）的供應(yīng)國(guó)。

這是圭亞那著名經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家博比·戈塞的觀點(diǎn)，他在上周末在《今日石油》上發(fā)表的一篇專欄文章中重點(diǎn)探討了圭亞那天然氣供應(yīng)出口市場(chǎng)的潛力。

戈塞表示，對(duì)石油而言，其基本面仍然非常具有挑戰(zhàn)性，但他補(bǔ)充說，世界市場(chǎng)正在重新校正其短期、中期和長(zhǎng)期庫(kù)存需求的觀點(diǎn)。鑒于全球新冠肺炎大流行之后世界經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)的變化，這一點(diǎn)尤其重要。“特別是，天然氣的前景在支持快速增長(zhǎng)的發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟(jì)體進(jìn)行脫碳和減少對(duì)煤炭的依賴以及在與碳捕獲利用和存儲(chǔ)(CCUS)結(jié)合起來成為一種接近零碳能源來源中比石油的前景更有彈性。”

戈塞表示，鑒于圭亞那具有天然氣開發(fā)的巨大潛力，“這個(gè)南美國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)可以成為向全球市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)LNG的世界供應(yīng)國(guó)，就像它目前對(duì)麗莎大油田的原油所做的那樣。”

根據(jù)戈塞的說法，隨著水電項(xiàng)目的發(fā)展，圭亞那具有增加其能源結(jié)構(gòu)的潛力。隨著碳?xì)浠衔锖涂稍偕茉吹碾p雙發(fā)展，圭亞那作為全球LNG供應(yīng)國(guó)的能源前景可能十分可觀。

李峻 編譯自 今日石油

原文如下：

Guyana can become world supplier of natural gas – Bobby Gossai Jr.

Guyana can become a world supplier of Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) in the coming years, given the vast hydrocarbon resources found offshore the South American country and the growing demand for gas, as economies wean themselves off of fossil fuels.

This is the view of Guyanese economist Bobby Gossai Jr. who explored the possibilities of Guyana’s gas potential to supply export markets in a column published on OilNOW over the weekend.

Gossai Jr. stated that for petroleum the fundamentals are still very challenging but added that the world market is recalibrating its view of how much inventory it will need for the short, medium and long term. This is particularly relevant, given the changing situation of the world economy, following the global pandemic. “In particular, the outlook for natural gas is more resilient than for oil, underpinned by the role of natural gas in supporting fast-growing developing economies as they decarbonized and reduce their reliance on coal, and as a source of near-zero carbon energy when combined with carbon capture use and storage (CCUS),” he stated.

Gossai Jr. said with great potential for natural gas development in Guyana, “this economy can become a world supplier of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to the global market, as it is currently doing with the Liza crude.”

According to Gossai Jr., Guyana has the potential to add to its energy mix as well, with the development of hydroelectric projects. “The energy outlook for Guyana as a supplier could be significant with the development of both hydrocarbons and renewable energy sources,” he stated.