據油價網3月25日消息稱，據路透社的四位消息人士稱，歐佩克+可能決定再維持一個月的石油產量基本穩定。

沙特阿拉伯和阿聯酋都表示，在向市場投入多少石油的問題上，需要謹慎行事。

本周周二，布倫特原油價格從3月11日的每桶69.63美元暴跌至60.86美元。到周三，油價反彈至每桶近64美元，當天上漲了5%以上。

油價劇烈波動的原因是多方面的，包括美國石油庫存數據、歐盟又一輪封鎖、阿斯利康疫苗的安全性和有效性的擔憂，以及蘇伊士運河一艘船只被困導致油輪堵塞。

無論價格波動的原因是什么，數據表明，市場對刺激措施的看漲或看跌仍然很敏感，只有需求的持續增長才能解決這個問題。

即使歐佩克在4月份保持產量穩定——或者允許幾個熱切的產油國略微增加產量——仍有幾個不確定因素威脅著歐佩克保持供應緊張的能力。

朱佳妮 摘譯自 油價網

原文如下：

OPEC+ Will Keep A Lid On Oil Production

OPEC+ will likely decide to keep oil production essentially steady for another month, according to four Reuters sources.

Saudi Arabia and the UAE have both spoke out in favor of the need to tread lightly when it comes to how much oil is put into the market.

On Tuesday this week, the price of Brent crude plunged to $60.86 per barrel from $69.63 per barrel on March 11. By Wednesday, the price had rebounded to nearly $64 per barrel—up more than 5% on the day.

The dramatic price fluctuations are attributable to a variety of events, including U.S. oil inventory figures, another round of lockdowns in the EU, AstraZeneca vaccine safety and efficacy concerns, and a vessel stuck in the Suez canal causing a traffic jam of oil tankers.

No matter the reason for the price swings, the data suggests that the market is still sensitive to stimuli—bullish or bearish, and nothing but a sustained increase in demand is likely to cure that.

Even if OPEC holds production steady for April—or allows a couple of eager producers to ramp up just slightly—there remain a couple of wildcards that threaten OPEC’s ability to keep supplies tight.